The new Qunnipiac poll shows Hillary beating out two Florida favorite
s, and you know what they say - Florida, Florida, Florida.
March 21, 2013 - Clinton Tops Florida Favorite Sons In 2016 Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds
Former
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has double-digit leads over either
of Florida's favorite sons, former Gov. Jeb Bush or U.S. Sen. Marco
Rubio, in an early look at the 2016 presidential election, according to a
Quinnipiac University poll released today.
SNIP
Mrs.
Clinton, who shows the most strength of any potential 2016 aspirant in
Quinnipiac University’s national polls, leads Jeb Bush 51 – 40 percent
and bests Sen. Rubio 52 – 41 percent in a poll of Sunshine State
registered voters.
Clinton
is viewed much more favorably than either man, 62 – 33 percent
favorable for Clinton, compared to 50 – 35 percent favorable for Bush
and 41 – 34 percent for Rubio.
“We
probably won’t know for some time whether former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton runs for president in 2016, but if she decides to make
the race, she begins with a sizable lead in a state that Republicans
cannot win the White House without,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant
director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Florida
voters have a very positive view of Mrs. Clinton and it’s not just
Democrats who feel that way.”
Mrs.
Clinton is viewed favorably by 26 percent of Republicans, not bad for a
Democrat who’s had her share of battles with the GOP, and gets a 57 –
35 percent favorability among the key voting group, independents. Not
surprisingly, she gets 93 – 5 percent favorability among Democrats. She
has a 10-point gender gap: 66 percent of women and 56 percent of men
view her favorably.
In
a head-to-head with Jeb Bush, Mrs. Clinton would get 10 percent of
Republicans while he would only get 4 percent of Democrats. Independent
voters are divided 42 percent for Clinton and 41 percent for Bush.
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10. If the election for President were being held today, and the
candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the
Republican, for whom would you vote? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Clinton 51% 10% 92% 42% 45% 56% 44% 86% 62%
Bush 40 88 4 41 45 36 48 9 30
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 1 - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 4 1 2 3 -
DK/NA 5 1 2 11 5 6 5 1 8
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 47% 42% 32% 42% 38% 49% 25% 44%
Bush 45 50 60 51 53 44 66 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 - 1 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 - 3 1 3 2
DK/NA 5 5 4 7 5 6 5 5
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Clinton 52% 51% 53% 54% 51% 55% 51% 50%
Bush 39 41 39 43 39 31 45 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 3 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 1 2 6 1 1
DK/NA 6 5 5 2 5 8 2 5
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11. If the election for President were being held today, and the
candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the
Republican, for whom would you vote? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Clinton 52% 8% 90% 47% 48% 55% 45% 88% 57%
Rubio 41 90 6 38 44 37 48 6 35
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - 1 3 -
DK/NA 6 1 3 11 5 6 5 2 8
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 50% 42% 32% 47% 41% 49% 27% 45%
Rubio 46 49 62 47 53 44 67 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 - 2 1
DK/NA 3 6 4 6 4 6 3 5
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Clinton 55% 51% 52% 56% 55% 54% 53% 51%
Rubio 39 41 38 41 41 33 43 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 2 - 1 2 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 - - 3 - -
DK/NA 5 6 6 3 4 8 4 5
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| 12. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 50% 87% 27% 48% 50% 50% 58% 20% 41%
Unfavorable 35 5 61 32 36 35 31 62 32
Hvn't hrd enough 13 7 11 17 13 12 9 17 25
REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 3 2 1 1
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| 13. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 41% 81% 12% 41% 45% 38% 48% 10% 39%
Unfavorable 34 3 60 30 34 33 31 51 34
Hvn't hrd enough 24 15 26 26 20 27 20 39 25
REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 2 1 - 2
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| TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
FAVORABLE......
High Low
Mar 21 May 23 Feb 03 Aug 19 Jul 30 May 23 Apr 16
2013 2012 2011 2010 2010 2012 2009
Favorable 41 44 41 35 35 44 10
Unfavorable 34 24 17 28 24 24 11
Hvn't hrd enough 24 31 41 34 38 31 78
REFUSED 1 1 2 2 3 1 2
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| 14. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 62% 26% 93% 57% 56% 66% 57% 88% 68%
Unfavorable 33 68 5 35 37 29 39 7 25
Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 2 4 5 2 3 5 6
REFUSED 2 2 - 3 1 2 2 - 1
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| TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (*Low also 44% Jun 2007) |
FAVORABLE......
High Low
Mar 21 May 22 May 1 Apr 2 Dec 5 Mar 21 Apr 2
2013 2008 2008 2008 2007 2013 2008*
Favorable 62 48 49 44 52 62 44
Unfavorable 33 43 40 45 41 33 45
Hvn't hrd enough 4 5 7 8 5 4 8
REFUSED 2 4 4 4 3 2 4
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Seriously? There are people who haven't heard enough about her?
